Researcher in Political Economy, Development Economics and Conflict Studies
I am a tenured researcher at the Institute for Economic Analysis (IAE(CSIC)) and Program Director for the Data Science for Decision Making M.Sc. at the Barcelona School of Economics (BSE). My CV can be found here.
My fields of interest are machine learning, political economy, development economics, conflict studies, and industrial organization. In my most recent research projects, I have analyzed how political institutions can make societies more robust, the channels through which violence affects the economy, how armed conflict can be predicted using millions of newspaper articles and how we can monitor building destruction using satellite images.
I am advising organizations like the World Bank, the IMF, the UN and foreign offices how to make better use of forecasts for decision making support. I am one of the principal investigators behind the research group EconAI which has the goal to provide decision making support based on quantitative data analysis. We have launched the conflict forecast webpage which delivers monthly updates on conflict risks worldwide. Other systems for displacement forecasting and de-democratization monitoring and forecasting are under development.
My work has been published in leading journals in economics and political science such as the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), the American Economic Review (AER), the American Political Science Review (APSR), the Journal of the European Economic Association (JEEA) and the American Journal of Economics: Macro (AEJ: Macro).
My research fields are in Political Economy, Development Economics, Conflict and Machine Learning.
My policy work is directly related to my academic research on armed conflict, political institutions and industrial organisation.
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